Criminal History Impact Simulation

This simulation demonstrates the cumulative impact of different arrest rates and sentencing policies over time. Each dot represents an individual, with size indicating number of arrests and position randomly assigned.

Arrest Rates

%
%
Probability of arrest per year (0-100%)

Sentence Lengths

y
y
y
Average sentence in years
Targeted Cohort
Legend
1 Arrest
2 Arrests
3+ Arrests
Comparison Cohort
Legend
1 Arrest
2 Arrests
3+ Arrests
Multiple Simulations Analysis

Run 10,000 independent simulations to analyze the average outcomes and variation across simulations. Error bars indicate one standard deviation above and below the mean at each time point.